I just got in... Attended my son's H.S. Graduation Awards Ceremony tonight and I'm proud to report that he's graduating with High Honors (4.2GPA).
One wonders, with the economic situation being what it is, what opportunities will be available to him 4 years from now when he has a B.S. Degree in hand. Scary to even contemplate...
Anyway, much happening in the markets of late. The US Dollar index is plummeting again. Will it make another historic "all-time low" this time around? I think it's quite possible, though 70 will provide very tough downside resistance.
And how about that Oil? Holy Crap--Light Sweet Crude Oil just broke through $135 in Asian Trading tonight! The Chart below hasn't even had a chance to catch up yet.... Anyway, with that said, I want you to note the severely overbought condition in Oil. Don't be surprised to see a pullback sometime soon, but I honestly don't think it will fall below $110 and when it does, it won't stay down for very long. Expect $150 tops before a nice correction.
Gold, as I've been forecasting for weeks now, is rebounding nicely. It has cut back through the 50DMA and the MACD has decidedly turned upwards. I still stand by my earlier comment: $1,200 gold by end of 2008.
The DOW on the other hand is looking pretty ugly -- it sliced back through its 50DMA and the MACD is also turning down. I don't think we'll test the March lows just yet, but think it's inevitable over the longer run -- and when we finally do: look out below!
I expect tomorrow to be a very interesting day also... All the Asian Indexes are currently in the red on inflation concerns, and existing home sales data gets released tomorrow at 10:00 EST. Consensus expects the numbers to come in at 4.85 Million (annualized) sales -- keep your eye on market reactions.
With that, I'm going to have to call it a night (told you I didn't have much time). I hope all of you have a great evening.