Monday, July 12, 2010

US Dollar Woes

Central banks start to abandon the U.S. dollar

A new report from Morgan Stanley analyst Emma Lawson confirms what many had suspected: the dollar is firmly on its way to losing its status as the reserve currency of the world. We already knew that central banks have preferred gold to dollars, and that they're even selling their gold for cash; now, according to Lawson's data, it seems that those central banks prefer almost anything to dollars.

China Ratings Agency Downgrades US Debt

The US sovereign debt gets a stiff downgrade, cut down from number one in the world, to a distant thirteenth place by China's Dagong Credit Rating Agency.

The US battered the euro and has been sitting on gold and silver ahead of the SDR discussions. And now China has slipped a shiv between the ribs of the almighty Dollar. This is just the overture, the prelude to the dance.

And further down the road, trade wars, well, at least trade wars more overt than the ones which have been ongoing since 1980, in which the US based multinationals thought they were pulling the strings, breaking the back of American labor.

The US media will downplay this, dismiss it, say it does not matter because China will not/ dare not/ can not/ do anything to change the status quo. And expect the spin to be laced with plenty of condescension. Oh those sly Chinese, just talking up their book, just like us. But who can take those little rapscallions seriously.

11 July AP Report here: Chinese credit firm says US worse risk than China


BxCapricorn said...

The Labor Department said Thursday that new claims dropped by 29,000 to 429,000, the lowest level since August 2008.

European Online Recruitment Activity Reaches 16-month high, Reports Monster Employment Index.

Zimbabwe isn't like the US, other than it trusts only USD.

States saw their first increase in tax revenues this past month, after almost two years.

The oil leak is plugged, the dollar is finally weakening, allowing us a chance to export more goods and services to other markets, and all you capture is doom and gloom.

GS suckered in the bears, who laid down puts in record numbers, and now it's time to sweep the table of another dumb bet against the casino.

BxCapricorn said...

One week later....the market moved right up to resistance, and gold dropped like a stone. The European Bank stress tests proved that they aren't going anywhere, and people sold out of their gold positions. Silver was less effected because it is a hybrid metal, both precious and in demand as a basic, especially in the solar panel industry. A good site for alternative inflation tracking is:

BTW, all of my signals point to a reversal on Monday/Tuesday. I was a bull last week, and a bear this week. Happy trading.