Analysis and Discussion with Chris Mayer of Columbia Business School
Discussion of Housing Bubble, US Dollar, Debt, Trade Deficit, Oil, Gold, Consumer Spending, Central Banks, Inflation, Outsourcing and the Bleak Future of the US economy
This Blog and/or the articles contained within have been referenced, linked or quoted in: Businessweek online, WSJ Online, Dollar Collapse, Safehaven, Silverbear Cafe, Financial Armageddon, Yahoo & Google Finance -- among many other blogs & web-pages... Thanks for stopping in for a read!
Sunday, July 26, 2009
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Interesting mortgage delinquency stats
The Comptroller of the Currency's 42-page housing report - released in late June 09 yet providing data for the first qtr 2009 (link) is a review of performance statistics for 34 Million 1st mortgage loans totaling > $6 Trillion (approximately 64 percent of all mortgages outstanding in the United States).
Chart below (click for larger image) is a high level snapshot of some of the data provided
Bottom line/take-away: if this data accurately represents all 1st Liens across the US then >10% of all mortgages were delinquent, seriously delinquent or already in foreclosure by the end of March 2009 - a 130% YoY increase in serious delinquencies and a 75% YoY increase in foreclosures.
One can only imagine how bad the data looks for 2nd notes.
Question: Did I miss any "Green shoots" in the data above? Hope not, because I would really hate to misrepresent the Comptroller of the Currency's report.
Chart below (click for larger image) is a high level snapshot of some of the data provided
Bottom line/take-away: if this data accurately represents all 1st Liens across the US then >10% of all mortgages were delinquent, seriously delinquent or already in foreclosure by the end of March 2009 - a 130% YoY increase in serious delinquencies and a 75% YoY increase in foreclosures.
One can only imagine how bad the data looks for 2nd notes.
Question: Did I miss any "Green shoots" in the data above? Hope not, because I would really hate to misrepresent the Comptroller of the Currency's report.
Dollar to fall much more
Louis Navellier, editor of Emerging Growth, tells why the dollar could go straight down and what that could mean for the US economy and stock market.
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
A few pictures from my D.C. trip
Saturday, July 18, 2009
Weekend Funnies - 18 July
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