Note: click on any chart to enlarge
DOW Chart looks bearish with a falling MACD (bottom of the chart), but it is a bit oversold right now and has a rising Full STO (top of the chart). I anticipate we'll see a bounce back to the 50 day moving average (MA 50 - blue line) before the next MAJOR downleg - a decline that is already baked into the cake.
(Note for the record: I believe the DOW will take out the Mar 09 low of 6,400 before this "Economic Depression" is over - and it may ultimately fall much more than that - Sub 1K DOW)
S&P 500 chart is nearly identical to the DOW chart above - a small bounce up to the 50 day MA is more likely than a large drop from here
Gold is looking quite strong with a bullish (rising) MACD, though a bit overbought for the time being. That's not to say we can't reach a new all-time high from here (it is possible), but a short-term pullback (falling Full STO) can be expected at anytime
Silver Chart is very similar to gold, with a rising MACD, but the Full STO illustrates a slightly less overbought condition. Note: Many folks are calling for A MASSIVE price surge once $21 is decisively broken. Some are even targeting $27-30 within months... Silver could become interesting soon.
Dollar... Hmm. Could go either way from here. The US Dollar index has been hugging its 50 Day MA for a while now and the MACD, though rising, looks like it may be starting to turn downward (note the downward sloping black line). A very tough one to call for the short term, but I have no doubt where it's headed over the longer term.
So where is it headed for the longer term you ask? Well, let me put it this way: No country in the history of the world has ever been successful in printing their way to prosperity - and the US will be no different.
Bottom line: The US dollar index is going to ZERO over the longer term
Regards
Randy
Discussion of Housing Bubble, US Dollar, Debt, Trade Deficit, Oil, Gold, Consumer Spending, Central Banks, Inflation, Outsourcing and the Bleak Future of the US economy
This Blog and/or the articles contained within have been referenced, linked or quoted in: Businessweek online, WSJ Online, Dollar Collapse, Safehaven, Silverbear Cafe, Financial Armageddon, Yahoo & Google Finance -- among many other blogs & web-pages... Thanks for stopping in for a read!
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Sunday, August 29, 2010
Peter Schiff on MSNBC 25/8/10
Superb interview w/Peter Schiff discussing housing, debt, funny money, moral hazards, Congress, etc.
Bottom line: many dangers lie ahead with the likely end-game being a inflationary depression.
Bottom line: many dangers lie ahead with the likely end-game being a inflationary depression.
Saturday, August 28, 2010
Saturday, August 21, 2010
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