Friday, July 11, 2008

DOW Daily and Hot off the press news!

Well, I was only 1/2 right ( DOW: Below 11K this week) and underestimated the power of the Plunge Protection Team (PPT).

The Dow started off the day by opening > 150 points lower than yesterday's close, then spent much of the day fumbling along ~ 200 points lower -- and it actually dipped below 11,000 on three separate occasions, only to be followed by a massive PPT-induced 200 point rally late in the day (look at 2:30-3pm on chart below); ultimately closing 100 points above my target predicted earlier in the week. Oh well, we still have next week. I still believe 9K by end of year.

Hot off the press: Looks like INDYMAC HAS TANKED!!!!

Regulators Seize Mortgage Lender

Banking regulators seized IndyMac Bancorp, one of the country’s largest mortgage lenders, on Friday evening.

The bank, a star in the subprime era, is the second largest ever to fail and the first major bank to shut its doors since the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s.

The bank collapse came after a frenzied week as IndyMac’s executives tried — and failed — to bolster the bank’s financial footing. The bank, based in Pasadena, Calif., said on Monday that it had stopped making new loans and announced layoffs of more than half of its 7,200 workers. But IndyMac’s customers — afraid their savings might disappear — stampeded tellers, demanding their money back.

The run on the bank came after a critical letter about the bank’s future written by Senator Charles Schumer, Democrat of New York. Federal regulators said on Friday that Mr. Schumer’s letter had pushed IndyMac into collapse, causing the bank run and scaring away potential acquirers.

“The senator made comments in his letter questioning the viability of the institution,” John M. Reich, director of the Office of Thrift Supervision, said on a phone call with reporters. “When a member of the United States Senate makes such a statement, it frightens depositors.”

In the days after Mr. Schumer’s letter was released on June 26, IndyMac customers withdrew an average of $100 million a day from the bank, or a total of $1.3 billion, the government said. Before Mr. Schumer’s letter, the bank had been receiving net inflows of money from depositors, Mr. Reich said.

Mr. Schumer, who has been critical of bank regulators for months, released a statement, in turn, criticizing Mr. Reich’s agency.

“If O.T.S. had done its job as regulator and not let IndyMac’s poor and loose lending practices continue, we wouldn’t be where we are today,” he said.

For all the write-downs and bad news on Wall Street over the last year, few regional and local bank have shut their doors. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation listed just 76 troubled banks in its report in April. The handful that have failed have been a fraction of the size of IndyMac. IndyMac held $30 billion in deposits as of late March, according to the government release.

“It’s the biggest failure in 24 years,” said Chip MacDonald, a banking lawyer at Jones Day in Atlanta. “You haven’t had a lot of failures of that size, yet.”

IndyMac’s collapse was unrelated to the market worries about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the big mortgage finance companies.

Next week should be quite interesting



Anonymous said...

I've only been watching the DOW for the past six months or so, but in that time, I've noticed whenever there is a severe downturn, there is almost always a recovery right around 2 to 3 PM.

It seems fishy that the pattern is so set, almost predictable. I was wondering if that was PPT doings? I figured it probably was.

Every once in awhile you see the plunge continue anyway, and I just think, wow, how deep would it have been without the PPT intervention?


Randy said...


I'm certainly glad someone besides me is watching. Can't imagine why we don't see outrage from the media and public. Some free market economy eh?


Grand old dow jone.s